Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British Pound

Due to low volatility, the price never reached the levels I identified. As a result, I remained out of the market.

Despite mixed statements from Iran's foreign ministry, which essentially indicated that while certain outlines of a future agreement are beginning to emerge, no one is yet prepared to confirm its imminent conclusion, the news flow remains relatively calm. On the one hand, this lack of major developments continues to support trading within the familiar narrow sideways range for the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, this informational stagnation highlights the significance of the Middle East situation, making it virtually the only catalyst for potential market changes. If negotiations fail, pressure on the pair is likely to return quickly. The absence of fresh U.S. macroeconomic data during the second half of the day only increases market focus on developments in the Middle East.

As for the intraday strategy, I will rely primarily on the implementation of Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Today, I plan to buy the pound upon reaching the entry point around 1.3495 (green line on the chart), targeting growth toward 1.3536 (the thicker green line on the chart). Near 1.3536, I plan to exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction, targeting a 30–35 point move from the level. Expectations for pound growth today are justified only if a peace agreement between the parties is reached.

Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and is just beginning to rise from it.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound today if the price tests the 1.3478 level twice consecutively while the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This would limit the pair's downward potential and trigger a bullish market reversal. In this case, growth toward the opposite levels of 1.3495 and 1.3536 can be expected.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound after a breakout below the 1.3478 level (red line on the chart), which could lead to a rapid decline in the pair. The key downward target for sellers will be the 1.3437 level, where I plan to exit short positions and immediately consider opening long positions in the opposite direction, targeting a 20–25 point rebound. Pressure on the pound is likely to return today if negotiations fail.

Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and is just beginning to decline from it.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound today if the price tests the 1.3495 level twice consecutively while the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This would limit the pair's upward potential and trigger a bearish market reversal. In this case, a decline toward the opposite levels of 1.3478 and 1.3437 can be expected.

Chart Notes:

• Thin green line – entry price for buy positions;
• Thick green line – estimated Take Profit level or area for manually locking in profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
• Thin red line – entry price for sell positions;
• Thick red line – estimated Take Profit level or area for manually locking in profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
• MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to monitor overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Beginner Forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making market entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market ahead of major fundamental reports in order to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize potential losses. Without stop-loss protection, you may lose your entire deposit very quickly, especially if you do not apply proper money management and trade large volumes.

Remember that successful trading requires a clear trading plan, similar to the one outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based solely on current market conditions are inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders.